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February 27, 2008

Widescale Global Cooling

First it was "Global Warming", then that didn't quite fit so the loonies changed their terminology to "Climate Change". I suppose that can be used for cold or hot temps, like "Temperature Monitors Report Widescale Global Cooling". From The Daily Tech: (hat tip hubby)

Twelve-month long drop in world temperatures wipes out a century of warming (click image to enlarge)

Hadcrut Over the past year, anecdotal evidence for a cooling planet has exploded. ... No more than anecdotal evidence, to be sure. But now, that evidence has been supplanted by hard scientific fact. All four major global temperature tracking outlets (Hadley, NASA's GISS, UAH, RSS) have released updated data. All show that over the past year, global temperatures have dropped precipitously.

A compiled list of all the sources can be seen here. The total amount of cooling ranges from 0.65C up to 0.75C -- a value large enough to wipe out nearly all the warming recorded over the past 100 years. All in one year's time. For all four sources, it's the single fastest temperature change ever recorded, either up or down. (continue reading)

So much for the Church of Global Warming and Pope Al Gore. Although he's still raking in millions on this rip off. And who will be paying for this farce? YOU.

The Daily Ramble is also covering this, under a category of "Climate Porn". I like it.

It will be interesting to see the spin that the climate porn people put on stories like this as they become more common with the reduced solar activity. [snip]

The next big 'scare' will be the attempt to stop the global cooling by this same crowd (as it was in the 1970's); the only similarities will be the cost to the taxpayers. No matter what 'they' think needs to be done, it will come as a heavy burden to the working people of industrialized countries (and the upcoming ones).

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» Move over Cash Cow Global Warming, Daddys home! from Neocon News
Findings that lend credence to the solar variation alternative explanation of Global Warming came out over the last few days. This is a fairly big one, as the temperature confirmation comes from the big boys who have been more or less shouting from th... [Read More]

Comments

I think that provided the financiers do not try to make it into a heist as most of the oil price rise is now, this http://www.nextenergynews.com/news1/next-energy-news2.13s.html is going to cause a BIG change in the oil industry price structure and the politics that depend on it.

Interesting that the Wyoming Democrat governor has vetoed drilling into this deposit from Wyoming, along with the mainstream press he does not want any good news before November 2008.

To put the whole Climate Change issue into perspective vis-a-vis the Peak Oil Crisis, everyone needs to ask themselves, their associates, all sitting elected officials and those seeking office, especially the office of President of the United States, "What is more threatening in both the long and short terms, a beneficial 1 degree F rise in average world temperatures over the past 100 years, or a 1 percent decline in world oil production over the last 100 weeks - with steepening declines forecast? Furthermore, can our economy better deal with declining fuel inventories in an environment of persistent warming, or in an environment of declining average temperatures over the next several decades, the most likely scenario given the highly reliable solar inertial motion (SIM) model forecasts of climate change?” Solar cycle # 24 will tell the tale. The problem is not AGW. The problem is the end of cyclical warming coincident with the onset of Peak Oil.

"Did you actual LOOK at the chart? Read the title... Global Temperature Anomaly. Anomaly... look it up! Funny, the Hadley Center states that "warming our planet is unequivocal, and that it is very likely that most of this warming is caused by man-made greenhouse gases." You seem to want to accept their data but not their expert conclusion. Typical!" Mark Malowski

Anomaly:
Cambridge Dictionary -
a person or thing that is different from what is usual, or not in agreement with something else and therefore not satisfactory.
Webster:
1 : the angular distance of a planet from its perihelion as seen from the sun 2 : deviation from the common rule : irregularity 3 : something anomalous : something different, abnormal, peculiar, or not easily classified

---
Now if I have a model that says unequivocally that as concentration of CO2 rises the global temperature rises and in fact the global temperature _falls_ not by a little but by an amount averaged over a year that breaks records - then yes I have an anomaly. And as the definitions above state - that is something that does not agree with the rule in this case it does not agree with the model.

Now I realize that this is a shock to some modelers (even the Hadley Center) but when REALITY does not agree with your model - it does not normally mean that REALITY is incorrect. Indeed most observers would say that the model was incorrect. Yet this is (these are) the same model(s) that are being used to close down industries, export jobs, raise taxes, use food products to fuel vehicles impacting the price of food, and leading to the destruction of virgin rain forests to grow palm oil for fuel etc etc etc....

The models are WRONG if they cannot be validated against reality. Why should these models be trusted?
If I was a climate scientist who had generated these models or politician who believed them and made incorrect policy - I too would be trying to persuade people to disregard reality.

The backlash against the AGW proponents if the models continue to be proved incorrect will be EXTREMELY ugly. It will make the attacks on the worst errors of the pharmaceutical industry pale into insignificance. So as one of these proponents you should hope that this _is_ only an aberrant effect and that the so called warming trend resumes.

Did you actual LOOK at the chart? Read the title... Global Temperature Anomaly. Anomaly... look it up! Funny, the Hadley Center states that "warming our planet is unequivocal, and that it is very likely that most of this warming is caused by man-made greenhouse gases." You seem to want to accept their data but not their expert conclusion. Typical!

Well I hope the best for you Skunkster. We had enough tornado excitement here on super Tuesday.

LOL Grouch...personally, I'm hoping for a furiously active tornado chase season here in June. I've overdue for more encounters and photos...and my fourth concussion ;)

One wonders when the idiots will catch on :(

We ham radio operators have been longingly waiting for an increase in solar activity. We have been in a "sunspot minima" for some time now. The sunspots normally come and go in 11 year cycles. From what I have read the onset of the new sunspot cycle has been sluggish at best suggesting a decrease in solar activity.

Low solar activity is generally bad for radio communications so we hams are hoping for the best, but does this also mean that we will be operating our radios with icicles hanging from noses?

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