Democrats smirk that the muscle of the Hispanic vote is going to make them a permanent majority and make the Republicans extinct, while much of the GOP consultant class pontificates that the 2012 election was a message for the Republican to embrace amnesty and to drop any vestige of conservatism.
Peter Wehner's recent piece in Commentary is fairly typical of the sort of pieces prophesying demographic doom. Are they right?
The entire concept of lumping a very diverse group of people into a convenient label should be a warning sign in itself that something's amiss here.
That is, after all, the sort of identity politics more commonly practiced by Democrats. But using figures that come from Pew, the math tells us a different story altogether.
Hispanics are 9.07 percent of the current electorate (23.7 million voters). Of those, only 12 million or so of that 23.7 million voted in 2012 and they went for President Obama by 67.5 percent, a whopping eight million of the 12 million whom voted. That's just about one third of the entire Hispanic vote available.
In my universe, that means almost two thirds of the current Hispanic vote is either Republican or up for grabs.